Oracle / Markets / geopolitics

Will the US House pass a bill restricting military aid to Israel by September 30?

Yes 8.0¢
No 92.0¢
Trade YES on Banana PredictTrade NO

24h volume $1,339 · Event date Sep 30, 2026 · Prices updated Jul 15 13:22 UTC

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a bill that, if enacted, would impose restrictions, beyond any that exist at the time of market creation, on military assistance from the United States to Israel by September 30, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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