Oracle / Markets / geopolitics

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

Yes 5.5¢
No 94.5¢
Trade YES on Banana PredictTrade NO

24h volume $6,308 · Event date Dec 31, 2026 · Prices updated Aug 09 15:53 UTC

Resolution rules

If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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