Oracle / Markets / geopolitics

Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?

Yes 8.0¢
No 92.0¢
Trade YES on Banana PredictTrade NO

24h volume $448 · Event date Dec 31, 2026 · Prices updated Jul 09 17:06 UTC

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation. Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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