Oracle / Markets / politics

U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

Yes 9.0¢
No 91.0¢
Trade YES on Banana PredictTrade NO

24h volume $17,497 · Event date Dec 31, 2026 · Prices updated Jul 02 04:13 UTC

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela. A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Related markets

Prices shown are the latest traded odds. Trade this and 50,000+ other event markets with a $5 minimum on Banana Predict. Not financial advice.