Oracle / Markets / geopolitics

Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?

Yes 2.5¢
No 97.5¢
Trade YES on Banana PredictTrade NO

24h volume $102 · Event date Dec 31, 2026 · Prices updated Aug 07 15:50 UTC

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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