Oracle / Markets / event

NATO article 5 before 2027?

Yes 9.0¢
No 91.0¢
Trade YES on Banana PredictTrade NO

24h volume $0 · Event date Dec 31, 2026 · Prices updated Aug 09 15:07 UTC

Resolution rules

If any NATO member country invokes Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty at any time between November 5, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO (nato.int), however a consensus of credible media will also suffice.

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