Oracle / Markets / geopolitics

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by December 31, 2026?

Yes 9.6¢
No 90.5¢
Trade YES on Banana PredictTrade NO

24h volume $551 · Event date Dec 31, 2026 · Prices updated Aug 09 15:53 UTC

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Naim Qassem ceases to be Hezbollah’s secretary-general for any length of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Naim Qassem will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Hezbollah’s secretary-general within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Related markets

Prices shown are the latest traded odds. Trade this and 50,000+ other event markets with a $5 minimum on Banana Predict. Not financial advice.