Iran Nuke before 2027?

Yes 5.7¢

No 94.3¢

24h volume $60,804 · Event date Dec 31, 2026 · Prices updated Jul 23 00:40 UTC

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, Iran's government itself, or credible global news sources officially confirm that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

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