Oracle / Markets / event

Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?

Yes 19.5¢
No 80.5¢
Trade YES on Banana PredictTrade NO

24h volume $0 · Event date Dec 31, 2026 · Prices updated Aug 09 15:16 UTC

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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