Oracle / Markets / geopolitics

EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31?

Yes 4.5¢
No 95.5¢
Trade YES on Banana PredictTrade NO

24h volume $29 · Event date Dec 31, 2026 · Prices updated Aug 09 09:53 UTC

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any NATO or EU member country officially announces that they will be sending troops to Ukraine as part of a peacekeeping force by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must be part of a formal agreement between a NATO or EU member country and another country or international organization or otherwise indicative of a formalized policy. Announcements which are statements of intent, contingent, or otherwise are not indicative of a formalized policy will not count The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO, the EU, or member states of either entity, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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